Healthcare: Defensive With Better Outlook

Key Summary:
- Rising ISPA might increase patients traffic in 2H23
- Defensive amid cyclical slowdown
- Healthcare Omnibus Law & BPJS regulation are long-term catalysts
Since last year, we have been reiterating our conviction in the healthcare sector as a defensive play in 2023. Here are our previous research: (PRDA: Positive Sector Outlook and M&A Beneficiary) in Dec-22 and (Healthcare: Attractive & Defensive) in Mar-23, whereby SILO and PRDA as the top selections have outperformed the market with YTD returns at +57%/+13%, respectively vs. IHSG at +0.4%.
Our reasoning stem from the Healthcare Omnibus Law and BPJS regulation changes as a long-term growth driver and defensive amid cyclical slowdown. Replaces SILO (take profit) with MIKA given its lagging share price performance, valuation is still attractive at -1SD, good quality fundamental and most liquid for institutional. PRDA remains in the stock selection. Higher ISPA cases may provide short-term momentum in 2H23 for hospitals as patients traffic could increase correspondingly.