Research

Healthcare: Defensive With Better Outlook

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Algo Research Team


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Key Summary:


  • Rising ISPA might increase patients traffic in 2H23
  • Defensive amid cyclical slowdown
  • Healthcare Omnibus Law & BPJS regulation are long-term catalysts

Since last year, we have been reiterating our conviction in the healthcare sector as a defensive play in 2023. Here are our previous research: (PRDA: Positive Sector Outlook and M&A Beneficiary) in Dec-22 and (Healthcare: Attractive & Defensive) in Mar-23, whereby SILO and PRDA as the top selections have outperformed the market with YTD returns at +57%/+13%, respectively vs. IHSG at +0.4%.


Our reasoning stem from the Healthcare Omnibus Law and BPJS regulation changes as a long-term growth driver and defensive amid cyclical slowdown. Replaces SILO (take profit) with MIKA given its lagging share price performance, valuation is still attractive at -1SD, good quality fundamental and most liquid for institutional. PRDA remains in the stock selection. Higher ISPA cases may provide short-term momentum in 2H23 for hospitals as patients traffic could increase correspondingly.


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