Research

IHSG: May The Fourth Be With You

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Algo Research Team


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Key Summary:


  • Remain tactical to sell around resistance, buy near support
  • The negatives: Cyclical downturn, weak domestic activity and monetary tightening
  • The positives: Large cap results, flows & positioning and valuation

IHSG was greeted by high volatility after the holidays, where the last few days of April pushed the index higher but this has been reversed as we entered the month of May. Earnings results, macroeconomic data, FFR outlook, US banking crisis have all created much of the volatility in the beginning of 2Q23. We expect the market to remain in a rangebound in 2Q23 with resistance nearing 7,000 and support around 6,600 as there is not yet a significant catalyst to drive the market in either direction. Although the overall risks still tilt towards the downside, as outlined below. Our strategy remains tactical, to sell around resistance and buy near support.


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