How the Mighty BBCA Has Fallen in IHSG

Key Summary:
- Weakening fundamental, rising country-risk premium
- Net foreign outflows reached IDR47tn in the past year
- PBV has compressed to 2.9x, lowest in a decade
Once perceived as the safest and highest-quality banking stock in Indonesia, BBCA's share price has significantly underperformed, declining from its all-time high of IDR 10,950/share in 4Q24 to now trading at IDR 6,000/share, down around -45%.
Over the same period, it has lost around IDR 600 trillion in market capitalization and experienced a substantial valuation de-rating, where its price-to-book value (PBV) now stands at 2.9x (-2 standard deviation), the lowest level in more than a decade.