Indonesia’s 2Q25 GDP Growth Accelerated to 5.1%, Beating Expectations

Key Summary:
- Gross-fixed capital/investment (+7% YoY) drives GDP growth in 2Q25.
- This is followed by consumption (+4.9% YoY) and exports (+10.6% YoY).
- Requires more government stimulus in 2H25 to maintain momentum.
The Indonesian government has released its 2Q25 GDP reading, which increased by +5.1% YoY (+4% QoQ), exceeding +4.87% YoY in 1Q25 and surpassing analysts’ estimate of +4.8% YoY.
Breakdown: The primary driver of growth in 2Q25 was investment/gross-fixed capital formation (+7% YoY), followed by household consumption (+4.97% YoY) and exports (+10.67% YoY).