Insight

US Government Bonds No Longer Have “Safe-Haven” Status

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Algo Research Team


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Key Summary:


  • No longer the safest ratings for US government bonds
  • Japan and UK are the largest creditors, China biggest seller
  • Structural increase in US borrowing costs, except when QE

Moody’s downgraded United States’ credit rating by one notch from “AAA” to “AA1”, citing concerns over fiscal sustainability as rising debt and interest costs pose downside risks.


Context: The agency warned that U.S. debt, currently at $36tn, could rise significantly from 98% of GDP in 2024 to 134% by 2035, surpassing the size of its economy.


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